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A
severe drought in the Horn of Africa is exacerbating an
ongoing food crisis, one that affects close to 10 million people in Somalia,
Kenya and Ethiopia. Some aid groups are calling
the situation a "pre-famine" — and the situation threatens to get
much worse.
What would normally have been the rainy season there — which for the second year
in a row brought the lowest rainfall totals in a 60 year period — has ended,
and rain is highly unlikely to fall again before September. Although previous
droughts have lasted longer, the current drought is particularly severe, and
its impacts have been exacerbated by skyrocketing food prices, reduced coping
capacity and a limited humanitarian response.
Refugees from Somalia are streaming across the border into Kenya, and more than 20,000 arrived in two weeks in June. Some 30,000 new arrivals have settled just outside the three already over-crowded camps at Dadaab in northeastern Kenya, and thousands more are continuing to arrive every day.
Although the World Food Program is providing food for 446,000 refugees, mainly from Somalia, in camps in northwestern and northeastern Kenya, the organization has a shortfall of $43 million for its drought operations in Kenya over the next six months.
Climatic models differ on how climate change will play out
in the Horn of Africa, however two powerful pieces of evidence suggest that
this catastrophe-in-the-making may be human-caused:
• Recent research
[PDF] suggests that rainfall has declined over the last 60 years in parts of
the Horn of Africa, and that this trend is likely to continue under climate
change.
• Second, the current drought is linked to La Niña patterns. A historical
record of Niño/Niña patterns shows
that both are more powerful when temperatures are higher.
Widespread hunger calls for immediate action, as UN
Humanitarian Affairs and World
Food Program officials have emphasized. But as industrial countries spend
on this urgent humanitarian disaster, they ought also to invest in the climate
adaptation funds to which they agreed at the Cancun climate talks but have
yet to deliver.
The Center for Public Health & Climate Change at PHI, in collaboration with organizations such as Action Against Hunger, the UN Standing Committee on Nutrition and several UN agencies, is developing a capacity building initiative on women’s leadership to address climate change impacts on health and nutrition. The initiative will be launched at the event, "Women’s Leadership to Create a Climate for Health and Nutrition," at the COP17 climate talks in Durban, South Africa in December, 2011.
This morning, I came across a slideshow presentation put together by the